intangibles and valuation Archives - Global Travel Noteshttps://dulichbaolocaz.com/tag/intangibles-and-valuation/Sharing real travel experiences worldwideSat, 21 Feb 2026 05:57:09 +0000en-UShourly1https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.3Is the Value Premium Disappearing?https://dulichbaolocaz.com/is-the-value-premium-disappearing/https://dulichbaolocaz.com/is-the-value-premium-disappearing/#respondSat, 21 Feb 2026 05:57:09 +0000https://dulichbaolocaz.com/?p=5846Value investing keeps getting pronounced “dead,” yet it refuses to stay buried. This deep-dive explains what the value premium really is, why it can look like it’s fading, and why the simplest definition of value (like price-to-book) may be missing where modern companies store their worth: intangibles such as software, brands, and data. You’ll learn how valuation spreads, interest-rate regimes, and “value traps” can distort resultsand why newer approaches often blend value with profitability or quality screens to avoid buying cheap stocks that are cheap for good reasons. We also look at why style leadership rotates, why early-2026 market action reminded investors that growth doesn’t win forever, and what a practical, non-dramatic portfolio approach can look like if you still want a value tilt. Finally, you’ll read investor-style “experiences” that capture the emotional reality of sticking with value through long droughtsbecause the hardest part of capturing any premium is usually not the math, it’s the patience.

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If you’ve been investing for more than five minutes, you’ve probably heard some version of:
“Value investing is dead.” Sometimes it’s said with the confidence of a guy who just discovered
a new protein powder. Sometimes it’s said with the resignation of a long-suffering value fund
holder staring at yet another growth rally like it’s a party they weren’t invited to.

But the real question isn’t whether value is “dead.” Markets don’t really do deaththey do
long, awkward phases. The better question is: Is the value premium disappearing, or is it
changing form, shifting location, and occasionally hiding behind accounting rules like a cat behind a curtain?

First, what exactly is the “value premium”?

The value premium is the historical tendency for stocks that look “cheap” relative to fundamentals
(think: low price compared with book value, earnings, cash flow, or sales) to outperform stocks that look
“expensive” (high valuation multiples) over long periods. In academic finance, a classic way to capture this
idea is a value-minus-growth portfolio (often proxied by book-to-market, aka price-to-book’s evil twin).

In plain English: value stocks have often paid investors extra return for buying the stuff nobody is bragging
about at dinner. Growth stocks, meanwhile, often come with exciting stories, sleek slides, and valuations that
assume the future is guaranteed and also arrives on schedule.

So why are people asking if it’s disappearing?

Because recent history has been rude. For much of the post–Global Financial Crisis era, growth outperformed value
so consistently that “value comeback” started sounding like “I’m definitely going to start waking up at 5 a.m.”
(Sure. Totally. Any day now.)

Even when value had strong bursts, they often felt like short cameos rather than a full season renewal. Many investors
looked at the scoreboard and concluded: maybe the premium is gone. Or maybe it never existed. Or maybe we all hallucinated
it during the days when companies actually owned physical stuff.

Three big reasons value can look like it’s fading

1) The economy shifted from “stuff” to “ideas,” and book value didn’t get the memo

Traditional value metrics lean heavily on accounting measures like book valuethe balance-sheet value of
a company’s assets minus liabilities. That worked better when corporate value lived in factories, inventory, and equipment.
Today, a huge chunk of corporate value lives in intangibles: software, data, brands, networks, patents,
organizational know-how, and customer relationships.

The problem: many internally created intangibles are not fully recognized on balance sheets. So a company can be genuinely
valuable while looking “expensive” by price-to-book, simply because its real assets are wearing an invisibility cloak.
If your value screen relies on book-to-market, you might be measuring the wrong “cheap.”

2) The cheap stocks got cheaper (for longer), and the expensive stocks got… even more expensive

Value strategies don’t just depend on buying cheap stocks. They also depend on valuations eventually mean-reverting
at least a little. When the valuation spread between growth and value widens and stays wide, value investors can feel like
they’re waiting for a bus that keeps being delayed “due to operational issues.”

In some recent periods, what looked like “value underperformance” wasn’t only cheap companies doing poorly. It was also
expensive companies compounding at high rates and becoming more expensive, which is basically a double espresso shot
of pain for value investors.

3) “Value” got mixed up with “low quality,” and nobody wants a bargain that breaks immediately

Classic value portfolios can drift into companies that are cheap for a reason: shrinking industries, fragile balance sheets,
weak profitability, or business models that look like they were last updated during the flip-phone era.

Modern research and real-world investing have increasingly emphasized separating cheap-and-healthy from
cheap-and-concerning. Think of it as the difference between buying a discounted sofa and buying a discounted sofa
that also has “mysterious smell” listed as a feature.

What the evidence actually suggests: “disappearing” is too simple

If you zoom out far enough, the value premium has shown up across long histories, but it’s also had long droughts.
That’s not a contradictionit’s the nature of a premium that depends on how humans price uncertainty, risk, and narratives.

Here’s a useful way to frame it: the value premium may not be gone, but the “easy button” definition of value might be weaker.
When the economy becomes more intangible and accounting remains more tangible, old-school metrics can misclassify firms.

That’s why you’ll see two camps arguing past each other:

  • Camp A: “Value is dead.” (They’re looking at a tough recent run using traditional measures.)
  • Camp B: “Value isn’t dead; your ruler is broken.” (They’re arguing for better fundamentals, intangible adjustments, or intrinsic value measures.)

A quick reality check: value vs. growth moves in cycles (and 2026 has been a reminder)

Style leadership rotates. Sometimes it rotates slowly like a ceiling fan. Sometimes it rotates violently like a toddler
who just discovered office chairs spin.

In early 2026, market leadership broadened beyond mega-cap growth in several stretches, with value-oriented areas
(industrials, materials, financials, energy) showing strength at times. That kind of rotation doesn’t “prove” the value
premium is back forever, but it does highlight a core truth: the market is perfectly capable of changing its favorite
playlist without warning.

If you’re an investor, here’s the practical takeaway

1) Stop treating value like a single number

“Value” isn’t one metricit’s a family of related signals. Price-to-book is one. But so are price-to-earnings, price-to-cash-flow,
enterprise value to operating cash flow, free cash flow yield, shareholder yield, and more. Different industries reveal “cheap”
differently.

If you only use one metric, you’re basically trying to judge a restaurant using only the napkins.

2) Consider “value + profitability” instead of “value alone”

A lot of modern implementations tilt toward value while screening for profitability or quality. The goal isn’t to chase a new buzzword.
It’s to avoid value trapscompanies that are cheap because the fundamentals are quietly on fire.

3) Expect long stretches of disappointment (seriously)

If a premium is easy and comfortable, it usually gets arbitraged away. The price of a potential long-term premium is often
multi-year regret. Value investors have historically had to endure long periods where they look wrong
right up until the moment they don’t.

4) Don’t confuse “growth stocks” with “good stocks”

Growth companies can be wonderful businesses and terrible investments if the price already assumes heroic outcomes.
Likewise, value companies can be boring businesses and great investments if the market has priced them for disaster
and they merely deliver “not disaster.”

So… is the value premium disappearing?

The fairest answer is: the traditional value premium looks smaller in some recent periods, but “value” is not a fossil.
It’s evolving under the pressure of intangible assets, changing market structure, and the way investors price dominance and scalability.

If you define value narrowly (like book-to-market only), you may conclude the premium is fading. If you define value more
thoughtfully (broader fundamentals, intrinsic value approaches, or intangibles-aware measures), you may find the premium is
less “gone” and more “moved to a new address.”

In other words: the value premium probably isn’t disappearing. But it may be demanding that we stop using a 1990s map to navigate a 2026 city.

Conclusion: what to do next (without losing your mind)

If you’re building a long-term portfolio, the most robust approach usually isn’t “all value” or “all growth.”
It’s diversification, discipline, and a clear understanding of what you own and why you own it.

If you want a value tilt, implement it in a way that respects modern fundamentals (including profitability and the reality of intangibles),
and commit to it long enough for the logic to have a chance to work. If you can’t stick with it through ugly stretches,
you don’t have a value strategyyou have a value hobby.


Experiences From the Real World: What “Value Premium Anxiety” Feels Like (and What People Learn)

The most common “experience” investors describe around value isn’t a chartit’s an emotion: embarrassment.
Not the life-ruining kind. The subtle kind. The kind where your portfolio is quietly doing its sensible, diversified thing
while a friend’s concentrated growth bet is doing backflips on social media.

A typical story goes like this: someone builds a portfolio with a value tilt because they read the research and liked the idea
of buying cheaper stocks with higher expected returns. At first, it feels responsiblelike meal prepping. Then the market enters
a growth-led stretch. And suddenly meal prepping feels like being the only person at the party drinking water.

In year two or three of underperformance, the investor starts “optimizing.” That’s the polite word. The less polite word is
“panicking, but with spreadsheets.” They swap value funds, chase a different value ETF, or pile into “value” names that are actually
just beaten-down growth stocks with a low price-to-something. They start reading hot takes that begin with “This time is different,”
because those sentences always feel comforting right before they age poorly.

Then comes a moment that feels almost scripted: the investor finally gives up. They sell value because “it clearly doesn’t work anymore.”
Sometimes that capitulation happens near the end of a bad runright before value rebounds. It’s not because the market is mean
(though it has the vibe). It’s because the hardest part of capturing a premium is often staying invested while it looks pointless.

Another real-world pattern is what you might call “value trap education.” People learnsometimes the hard waythat cheap can be a warning label.
They buy a low-multiple stock because it looks like a bargain, only to discover the business is shrinking, management is diluting shareholders,
or the balance sheet is one unpleasant refinancing away from chaos. The lesson they take forward is powerful:
“Cheap isn’t enough. Cheap plus healthy is the goal.” That’s why so many modern value approaches try to blend valuation with profitability,
quality, or balance-sheet strength.

And finally, there’s the “intangibles surprise.” Investors who rely heavily on price-to-book eventually notice that a lot of modern winners look
expensive foreverbecause book value doesn’t fully capture the assets that matter. They learn to think in terms of cash flows, reinvestment,
customer economics, and competitive advantage rather than only what shows up neatly on the balance sheet.

The most grounded investors don’t “solve” the value premium debate. They manage it. They accept that value can lag for years, that growth can
dominate longer than seems rational, and that the market can stay fascinated with shiny stories for a very long time. Their edge isn’t secret
information. It’s behavior. They keep costs low, rebalance instead of chase, and stick to a philosophy long enough to matter.

In that sense, the value premium debate ends up being less about valuation formulas and more about human nature.
The premiumif it existsoften pays you for enduring the feeling that you’re missing out. Which is a deeply annoying way for markets to work,
but also a pretty accurate one.


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